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20 New Highs & War Games - Prepare for the Bull Market!
The rally could be in commodities highlighted recently in the run of Coca. An inflation based rally would see oil, materials, industrials and related industries going higher.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/4ad58c92-dab0-4f42-87a8-f5b6234bab97/White_Green_Modern_Welcome_April_Twitter_Header.gif)
Bumpy close to markets, international wars games - We have it all this week which makes it even harder than before. If this game was easy, everyone would be rich. Instead itโs our job to find niches of riches before the masses.
This week the market started to accept a new reality - Inflation is back and surprising us to the upside.
This means the market will have higher volatility both up and down. We need to be cautious but understand a massive rally in something is brewing.
The rally could be in commodities highlighted recently in the run of Coca. An inflation based rally would see oil, materials, industrials and related industries going higher.
These little puzzle pieces are coming together. The indexes had a rough week. We track and monitor to keep a keen eye on the next move.
- S&P500 - down 1.56% for the week
- Nasdaq - down 0.45% for the week
- Dow Jones - down 2.37% for the week
This is worthy of note because we now have nearly 3 weeks of downward pressure on indexes. This is a good thing in a bull market because it means we get discounts on companies from only a month ago.
P.S. - I wrote all this Saturday morning before the Iranian attack on Israel or the response. Markets will tell us how they view this event.
No matter the circumstances, there is always a bull market somewhere.
Market Performance
Fridayโs close was ugly across the board. No index was safe in the USA. The real place action happened was in OIL, GOLD and SILVER. Bitcoin did get a little action as well and every single thing closed down on the day.
This type of action is indiscriminate selling. Not a good luck charm for the near term but it does offer blazing bargains if you know where to look. Personally, I bought emerging markets, china and commodity shipping companies which were down on the day or week.
If inflation is back with a vengeance, it will take a long time for major players to get positioned and Friday was a perfect day to get ahead of a big players.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/276c4ad6-61c5-4dc2-b7ef-74cb2bbb7655/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_7.31.48_AM.png?t=1713015120)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/c2bb5ecf-2c43-4052-a19f-e272451f337d/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_7.40.19_AM.png?t=1713015828)
S&P500 has some order to the pullback - a low volatility counter-trend move is useful.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/2c494a53-d8f0-4ef3-88ad-fc972b1b69ef/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_7.40.51_AM.png?t=1713015838)
Dow Jones has all the volatility these days. The DIA might a few stocks but things are cracking up quickly.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/bcf63f41-a7e0-4b4a-b762-e5809f182085/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_7.43.35_AM.png?t=1713015847)
The most consistent and stable index continues to be tech. Even in 3 weeks of downward moves - we find
Volatility Corner:
VIX / VVIX improved! Blue up is good, blue down is bad. The blue line has a HIGH CORRELATION to overall markets.
My belief is that we still have lower volatility in the future. I can see this turbulence indicator is in perfect position to give us fresh all-time-highs this summer.
No matter if the market composition changes, I believe we continue to see a bull market at the index level through the end of 2024. The sectors and companies leading my change but the indexes continue higher.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/8c9825f2-6dc4-4cca-9f4e-15a8b3589242/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_7.45.17_AM.png?t=1713015930)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/d3f1b369-0797-492f-aefc-4628607a0255/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_7.46.12_AM.png?t=1713015985)
MACRO INDICATOR:
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/ec115b5e-0a98-4a5f-b7bc-f8d91b25f726/Screenshot_2023-08-27_at_7.09.34_AM.png)
Long-term, we are in a BULL MARKET. Daily, we are in a BEAR MARKET
MACRO SEASON: BULLISH Since 12/2/22๐ข
MICRO WEATHER: BEARISH Since 3/5/24๐ข
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New Highs $5-$20:
FIP - FTAI Infrastructure Inc - Industrials - ๐บ๐ธ
NR - Newpark Resources, Inc. - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ
HMY - Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd ADR - Basic Materials - ๐ฟ๐ฆ
CPG - Crescent Point Energy Corp - Energy - ๐จ๐ฆ
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ
ETRN - Equitrans Midstream Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ
FIP - FTAI Infrastructure Inc - Industrials - ๐บ๐ธ
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/a7ab9076-f4a2-4cb5-b1de-a9782341edab/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.16.44_AM.png?t=1713100615)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/dc50f278-8bb4-42ee-8595-88c93c420b5e/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.16.49_AM.png?t=1713100628)
NR - Newpark Resources, Inc. - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/03fc7078-aa15-466a-9734-944c3e90a265/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.15.42_AM.png?t=1713100582)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/56b0da7a-f8ac-4bef-b457-980c806e193d/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.15.47_AM.png?t=1713100592)
HMY - Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd ADR - Basic Materials - ๐ฟ๐ฆ
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/6bfb205a-df9b-40ff-b6f7-a7ff066af9e9/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.15.00_AM.png?t=1713100516)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/ff0e52b7-18a9-47ea-b754-90b1cc2b01b9/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.15.05_AM.png?t=1713100524)
CPG - Crescent Point Energy Corp - Energy - ๐จ๐ฆ
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/c267c96a-f12d-466b-b2c9-e71d15977784/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.14.16_AM.png?t=1713100479)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/c0fd0a85-ddeb-47a6-9a1c-e45860e30a0a/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.14.22_AM.png?t=1713100487)
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/db485028-6c51-48e9-ace9-c775a94ea683/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.13.37_AM.png?t=1713100440)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/74d004a6-919d-456b-8a46-74e5934cb625/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.13.43_AM.png?t=1713100447)
ETRN - Equitrans Midstream Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/c3de5400-b1a9-4926-b196-c75a1511a417/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.12.55_AM.png?t=1713100396)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/d731e107-51a9-4fa3-9d12-d13c94d2e9e2/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.13.01_AM.png?t=1713100405)
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New Highs $20+:
FRO - Frontline Ltd. - Energy - ๐ง๐ฒ Bermuda
LPG - Dorian LPG Ltd. - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
GGAL - Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. - Financial - ๐ฆ๐ท Argentina
GOOG - Alphabet Inc. - Communication Services - ๐บ๐ธ USA
XOM - Exxon Mobil Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation - Basic Materials - ๐บ๐ธ USA
CPNG - Coupang Inc. - Consumer Cyclical - ๐บ๐ธ USA
ERF - Enerplus Corporation - Energy - ๐จ๐ฆ Canada
MNR - Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corporation - Real Estate - ๐บ๐ธ USA
MRO - Marathon Oil Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
PPC - Pilgrim's Pride Corporation - Consumer Defensive - ๐บ๐ธ USA
WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. - Basic Materials - ๐จ๐ฆ Canada
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
FRO - Frontline Ltd. - Energy - ๐ง๐ฒ Bermuda
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/23c511ef-5631-4001-810b-4b6e949a0594/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.12.09_AM.png?t=1713100343)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/04b15ab1-0469-4d87-8d35-e0712002a646/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.12.18_AM.png?t=1713100350)
LPG - Dorian LPG Ltd. - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/06be8006-a216-4e8a-8950-7e102e68a66a/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.11.24_AM.png?t=1713100298)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/2e71d5f3-c55f-4187-abd4-07ad731d9775/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.11.32_AM.png?t=1713100311)
GGAL - Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. - Financial - ๐ฆ๐ท Argentina
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/065d84eb-6d02-48f6-85d6-9906c3276f11/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.10.42_AM.png?t=1713100253)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/620fe030-85d5-4a5e-a8c6-89793de03de0/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.10.47_AM.png?t=1713100260)
GOOG - Alphabet Inc. - Communication Services - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/3ebf1787-3d06-4399-b5f6-97ea643527e8/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.09.59_AM.png?t=1713100210)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/90f7e070-7180-455a-bfec-2613fd15c4a0/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.10.05_AM.png?t=1713100218)
XOM - Exxon Mobil Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/359c4149-4d0a-4136-834c-7ae820618b87/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.09.13_AM.png?t=1713100167)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/1009f1c6-2761-4d2d-b9a6-6cfe538a2ae9/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.09.21_AM.png?t=1713100175)
SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation - Basic Materials - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/6cb64047-7a82-4544-bb3a-b12b572a23d7/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.08.32_AM.png?t=1713100131)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/3e722e74-6ae4-45c7-bf74-c6536ccc1982/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.08.38_AM.png?t=1713100138)
CPNG - Coupang Inc. - Consumer Cyclical - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/edf3bba9-3fbb-4009-a72b-336858bc38a0/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.07.36_AM.png?t=1713100087)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/734998f7-1ce0-47ac-8f32-9d218a8fb7ae/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.07.41_AM.png?t=1713100095)
ERF - Enerplus Corporation - Energy - ๐จ๐ฆ Canada
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0b9ba9c4-6629-4bbe-a140-7ad047865b13/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.06.45_AM.png?t=1713100031)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0feee016-780e-4e48-8318-81cb6100533c/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.06.53_AM.png?t=1713100041)
MNR - Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corporation - Real Estate - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/d145ce0f-3793-4f37-b6c9-be1ef600c1cc/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.03.51_AM.png?t=1713099977)
MRO - Marathon Oil Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/1a79c618-058b-4752-9c19-c74d04a46751/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.02.04_AM.png?t=1713099776)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/77b316d4-1ff5-4811-9cbf-55e8c99f0134/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.02.16_AM.png?t=1713099800)
PPC - Pilgrim's Pride Corporation - Consumer Defensive - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/f924ea1e-5c93-4012-8740-c335c3ac76dc/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.01.11_AM.png?t=1713099687)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/49221223-44ea-439d-badf-70cd774d42d1/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.01.21_AM.png?t=1713099700)
WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. - Basic Materials - ๐จ๐ฆ Canada
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/6d514e7f-68f3-486c-8937-3083de841390/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.00.26_AM.png?t=1713099643)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/1996684e-ffff-4e01-b952-0873f274c235/Screenshot_2024-04-14_at_7.00.34_AM.png?t=1713099656)
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/52a8de43-2dbc-44e0-9e12-639ce71cac2c/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_8.18.30_AM.png?t=1713017920)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0228d11a-7bf3-4929-8070-0d092d366bed/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_8.18.35_AM.png?t=1713017929)
OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation - Energy - ๐บ๐ธ USA
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/d1d5951c-f0fe-477f-81ce-98de8b53af90/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_8.17.33_AM.png?t=1713017889)
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/7de313c0-4831-4ad7-bc7e-01b14d29903e/Screenshot_2024-04-13_at_8.17.48_AM.png?t=1713017896)
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