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- The Great Bull Awakens: Breakouts Across the Board
The Great Bull Awakens: Breakouts Across the Board
Small caps, high beta, and growth stocks are stealing the show. Are you riding the wave?


This market is chock-full of high-flying, brand-name tech companies ready to go to the moon. š Itās like a throwback to the āapesā eraāremember that? Diamond hands, rocket emojis, and stonks only go up? Feels like a lifetime ago, but here we are again. Nostalgic, isnāt it? Or exhausting, depending on how much GME youāre still holding.
Weāve shed so much froth from the market itās like a well-poured pint of beerāsettling nicely, but you know the foam will rise again. And guess what? That froth seems poised to return in early 2025. Why, you ask? Honestly, I donāt know. Could be Trump, could be NVDA, could be Elon tweeting about Dogecoin while launching Cybertrucks into space. Either way, small-cap, high-beta, growth themes are back to strut their stuff like itās prom night.
But hereās the dealāunderstanding the moment is critical to trading like a pro. How do I gauge sentiment? I keep it simple with three relative strength setups:
Growth vs. Value
Small Cap vs. Large Cap
Low Beta vs. High Beta
Three inputs, one clear output right now:
Buy Growth. Buy Small Cap. Buy High Beta.
Letās take SOFI as a prime example. This fintech darling is up over 14.45% in just the past week and crushing it year-to-date with an impressive 127.41% gain. Talk about high-beta swagger! š Its rising Bitcoin correlation (96.48%) only adds to the narrative. SOFIās out here saying, "Weāre not just a bank; weāre the bank of the future!" And with a trend price of $9.77, itās still got plenty of room to run.
Now, pair that with SQ (Block, Inc.), which is practically the poster child for this setup. Itās got growth aspirations (still unproven), itās small (sub-$100B), and its beta? A fiery 2.48. Sprinkle in Bitcoin, and you've got a cocktail spicy enough to give traders FOMO-induced heartburn.
And donāt sleep on MSTR (MicroStrategy). Michael Saylorās turned it into a full-blown Bitcoin proxy. With BTC teasing $100K, MSTR could become the drum major of the high-beta crypto parade. If SOFIās the fintech disruptor and SQās the scrappy innovator, MSTRās the pied piper, leading all the Bitcoin believers to the promised land.
So buckle up, apes and traders alike. The froth is bubbling, the narratives are hot, and itās looking like 2025 could kick off with a champagne pop. š¾
Market Performance
The market wrapped up the week on an upbeat note, with all three major indexes showing resilience. However, NVDAās red week stole some of the spotlight. It's a fascinating subplot when a mega-cap stock like NVDA, which has dictated the market's tempo, suddenly stumbles despite a lineup of promising catalysts. Add in the frenzy of 0DTE options swarming the stock, and you get a market that collectively shrugs and says, "Been there, done that." Call it market fatigue or a recalibration, but the focus is shifting.
INX (S&P 500): Riding the Middle Lane
The S&P 500 eked out a 0.35% gain on Friday and a steady 1.68% for the week. Itās the reliable middle child of the marketāsteady but not stealing the show. The weekly bullish sentiment reflects confidence, but the falling volume raises eyebrows. Are traders cautiously optimistic, or just taking an early Thanksgiving break? With a strong BTC correlation of 71.85%, it seems cryptoās moves are syncing with broader market vibes. But letās not overlook that the trend price of $6,017.31 looms as a pivotal resistance level. Eyes on the prize, INX.

A big up week for the SPY too - Things really turned around this week considering the expectations.

DJI (Dow Jones): Grandpaās Still Got It
The Dow Jones added 1.96% this week, flexing its old-school charm. Itās the index equivalent of your grandpa pulling out a new gadget and saying, āSee, Iām still with it.ā Volume is up, bullish weekly sentiment is locked in, and BTC correlation at 81.62% suggests the Dow isnāt just for blue-chip lovers anymoreāitās winking at risk assets. With a trend price above current levels at $44,486.70, thereās room for a breakout if the rally sustains. But donāt sleep on this: the Dowās steady climb could quietly lead the charge into the end of the year.

Dow Jones continues to show it belongs in the top indexes in the world as it notched a 1.96% up week.

IXIC (NASDAQ): High Beta, Higher Hopes
Meanwhile, the NASDAQ, the home of high beta and growth names, inched up 1.73% on the week. Volume may be falling, but sentiment remains bullish, and a year-to-date return of 33.35% reminds us why this index still feels like the marketās adrenaline rush. Its BTC correlation of 66.23% makes it the high-flyer that flirts with cryptoās volatility, but also rides the broader market wave. With a trend price of $18,083.95, NASDAQās growth themes are firmly entrenched, and the chart says thereās gas left in the tank. Could it lead the froth revival of 2025? Donāt bet against it.

A very nice week for tech being up 1.73% for the week - respectable.

So, while NVDA took a breather, the broader market didnāt miss a beat. The indexes are humming along, each playing its part in the great market symphony. The Dow's methodical rise, the S&Pās steady tempo, and the NASDAQās electrifying rhythm create a balanced yet compelling melody. Whether weāre heading for a crescendo or a quiet fade, one thing is clear: the marketās still got moves, and weāre all along for the ride. š¢
Volatility Corner:
The VIX/VVIX dynamic just pulled off a major glow-up! š Blue up? Thatās our cue for celebrationābullish vibes are officially back in style. Blue down? Letās not even talk about that; weāre leaving those bearish blues in the rearview.
For the past couple of weeks, Iāve been shouting from the rooftops about how primed this market was for a bullish setup. āThe market was down for the week but the longer-term turbulence indicator still shows a rising risk on environment.ā And now? Itās not just a whisper of optimismāitās a full-blown symphony of breakouts. š Across sectors, across market caps, this week was the fireworks finale weāve been waiting for. From small caps making big moves to large caps flexing their dominance, itās clear weāre in a bull market renaissance.
Look at the chartsāthe VIX is deflating like an old party balloon, and the VVIX is signaling stability. This is the kind of environment where risk-on strategies thrive. And thatās not just me talking; itās the data practically screaming it.
So, whatās next? Itās time to hang on tight and enjoy the ride. š The marketās back in its bullish groove, and all signs point to momentum carrying through the holidays and beyond. Just donāt forget to buckle your seatbeltāthis could get exhilarating.



MACRO INDICATOR:

Long-term, we are in a BULL MARKET. Daily, we are in a BEAR MARKET
MACRO SEASON: BULLISH Since 8/24/24š¢
MICRO WEATHER: BULLISH Since 11/8/24š¢
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New Highs $5-$20:
SOFI - SoFi Technologies Inc - Financial - United States - šŗšø
PTON - Peloton Interactive Inc - Consumer Cyclical - United States - šŗšø
YEXT - Yext Inc - Technology - United States - šŗšø
HNST - Honest Company Inc - Consumer Defensive - United States - šŗšø
NXE - NexGen Energy Ltd - Energy - Canada - šØš¦
GBTG - Global Business Travel Group Inc - Technology - United States - šŗšø
APLD - Applied Digital Corporation - Technology - United States - šŗšø
PAYO - Payoneer Global Inc - Financial - United States - šŗšø
WT - WisdomTree Inc - Financial - United States - šŗšø
LC - LendingClub Corp - Financial - United States - šŗšø
OUT - Outfront Media Inc - Real Estate - United States - šŗšø
SOFI - SoFi Technologies Inc - Financial - United States - šŗšø

What an absolute beauty in SOFI!

PTON - Peloton Interactive Inc - Consumer Cyclical - United States - šŗšø

Believe in the bike! Itās breaking out.

YEXT - Yext Inc - Technology - United States - šŗšø

An ole but a goodie is back!

HNST - Honest Company Inc - Consumer Defensive - United States - šŗšø

Last week, we had HNST and it was 17% less than it is today! Whoooo!

NXE - NexGen Energy Ltd - Energy - Canada - šØš¦


GBTG - Global Business Travel Group Inc - Technology - United States - šŗšø

Up 25% in 1 month ā thatās a great move.

APLD - Applied Digital Corporation - Technology - United States - šŗšø

I love the low price on this and the pending ATH breakout.

PAYO - Payoneer Global Inc - Financial - United States - šŗšø

High breakout in the payment space.

WT - WisdomTree Inc - Financial - United States - šŗšø

A nothing burger of a company, brand and stock but itās bullish with a massive tailwind.

LC - LendingClub Corp - Financial - United States - šŗšø

Lending is so cool in a growth environment - watch out for AFRM too!

OUT - Outfront Media Inc - Real Estate - United States - šŗšø

A nice move is setting up here.

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New Highs $20+:
TSLA - Tesla Inc. - Consumer Cyclical - United States - šŗšø
WMT - Walmart Inc. - Consumer Defensive - United States - šŗšø
JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co - Financial - United States - šŗšø
COST - Costco Wholesale Corporation - Consumer Defensive - United States - šŗšø
BAC - Bank of America Corporation - Financial - United States - šŗšø
NOW - ServiceNow Inc. - Technology - United States - šŗšø
ISRG - Intuitive Surgical Inc. - Healthcare - United States - šŗšø
KKR - KKR & Co. Inc. - Financial - United States - šŗšø
BSX - Boston Scientific Corporation - Healthcare - United States - šŗšø
TEAM - Atlassian Corporation - Technology - United States - šŗšø
SQ - Block Inc. - Technology - United States - šŗšø
DDOG - Datadog Inc. - Technology - United States - šŗšø
CVNA - Carvana Co. - Consumer Cyclical - United States - šŗšø
TSLA - Tesla Inc. - Consumer Cyclical - United States - šŗšø

The highest volatility, highest beta stock in the market is up 41% in 3 weeks! Whaaaat!

WMT - Walmart Inc. - Consumer Defensive - United States - šŗšø

Walmart is now a growth company? I dunno but itās not going down. Easy money.

JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co - Financial - United States - šŗšø


COST - Costco Wholesale Corporation - Consumer Defensive - United States - šŗšø

Costco is a winner of a company and the stock is no different.

BAC - Bank of America Corporation - Financial - United States - šŗšø

De-regulation is expected and banks will benefitā¦maybe?

NOW - ServiceNow Inc. - Technology - United States - šŗšø

ServiceNow is a big example of the breakout

ISRG - Intuitive Surgical Inc. - Healthcare - United States - šŗšø

A darling of the previous cycle, ISRG is back for higher high and breakouts!

KKR - KKR & Co. Inc. - Financial - United States - šŗšø

Investments are about to explode.

BSX - Boston Scientific Corporation - Healthcare - United States - šŗšø

Itās remarkable BSX continues considering healthcare is a short right now

TEAM - Atlassian Corporation - Technology - United States - šŗšø

These IT tools will be hot in a market where IT is going to be given tax cuts and opportunity.

SQ - Block Inc. - Technology - United States - šŗšø


DDOG - Datadog Inc. - Technology - United States - šŗšø

DataDog is so fucking back for the masses to YOLO call into for the next cycle!

CVNA - Carvana Co. - Consumer Cyclical - United States - šŗšø

Carvana continues the trend of small cap, high beta, high growth breaking out.

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$NVDA Rant - Why are you people doing this to yourself?
ā BootlegMacro (@bootlegmacro)
11:41 PM ⢠Nov 21, 2024
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