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- Let's Get This Q4 Party Started - Fireworks Ahead!
Let's Get This Q4 Party Started - Fireworks Ahead!
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/bf5c0fe1-1f4f-41ed-82a0-f7b358ef6115/justinpinkney_minimal_hanabi_lomography_d5635197-4268-4abe-836c-3e6da4e17643.png?t=1696173773)
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Let’s not make this longer than it needs to be. We have a list of over 20 stocks below hitting new highs. I’m very intrigued by $GRPN - Wow…I can’t believe I care about Groupon again. What is this? 2011?
But alas, we are the door-step of a full-blown recession. So why not find yourself a little discount massage or sushi?
If you read last week’s edition of the New High Newsletter, you know the VIX is our main compass going forward. We are about to see a full flip from BULL MARKET to BEAR MARKET. Keep your eyes on your fries!
Be cautious going long. We have support to go short.
Market Performance
Indexes chopped all week. Two indexes (SPY / DOW JONES) were down for the week, the Nasdaq was up a measly 0.06%. The market finds itself entering into Q4 with a shaky setup. Did you see the indexes do anything BULLISH last week? If you did, please tell me where.
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On every single TRADE CARD below will show the VIX SENTIMENT has flipped to very BULLISH which is very BEARISH for equities.
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When you have a -97% correlation to the VIX and it breaks out….you have a problem.
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When you have a -96% correlation to the VIX and it breaks out….you have a problem.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/37bd4063-db40-4703-afea-8a171cf10289/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.11.06_AM.png)
When you have a -94% correlation to the VIX and it breaks out….you have a problem.
Volatility Corner:
VIX / VVIX deteriorated! Blue up is good, blue down is bad. The blue line has a HIGH CORRELATION to overall markets. Things are going from bad to worse very quickly.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/6ec89809-4b17-4b85-90cd-4c09b9319611/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.12.56_AM.png)
Yikes!
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MACRO INDICATOR:
Officially, we are in a MACRO SEASON: BULL MARKET but we are monitoring short-term indicators which show a MACRO SEASON: BEAR MARKET brewing.
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Long-term, we are in a BULL MARKET. Daily, we are in a BEAR MARKET
MACRO SEASON: BULLISH Since 12/2/22🟢
MICRO WEATHER: BEARISH Since 9/19/23🛑***
US Index ETF Review:
SPY 🐻
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/21d8a42b-6e14-4470-8cf2-5196f4b9bf6c/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.15.42_AM.png)
Trend: BEARISH Since 9/27/23🛑***
Trade Signal: Go SHORT Since 9/21/23🛑
Future Price Path: Price to FALL Since 9/27/23🛑***
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/caeafdee-298d-4cf0-8891-d54e205a657e/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.17.35_AM.png)
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DIA 🐻
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/3f04cac1-b5df-4492-9ed5-bf7bd3b5f770/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.18.18_AM.png)
Trend: BULLISH Since 9/1/23🟢
Trade Signal: Go Short Since 9/21/23🔴
Future Price Path: FALL Since 9/21/23🔴
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/e098dee2-2991-4972-861c-5a69158bf1be/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.18.26_AM.png)
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QQQ 🐻
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/73360ebc-0c94-4a40-ab9b-111930093659/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.18.56_AM.png)
Trend BEARISH Since 9/29/23🔴***
Trade Signal: Go Short Since 9/21/23🔴
Future Price Path: FALL Since 9/26/23🔴***
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/c195a97f-a1e8-4d3d-858a-6c5419be08e7/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.19.05_AM.png)
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IWM 🐻
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/8ec5d481-44a6-416c-8092-33cbaaff7857/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.21.48_AM.png)
Trend: Bearish Since 8/16/23🛑
Trade Signal: NSHORT Since 9/15/23🛑
Future Price Path: FALL Since 9/14/23🛑
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/f24844ff-7a12-45cb-8e4d-57f9fddaeeab/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.21.55_AM.png)
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New Highs $5-$20:
GRPN - Internet Content & Infrastructure
LPG - Oil & Gas Midstream
HDSN - Speciality Chemicals
TNGX - Biotechnology
UUUU - Uranium
RENB - Biotechnology
EU - Uranium
CCCS - Software - Infrastructure
COUR - Education & Training Services
GRPN - Internet Content & Infrastructure 🇺🇸
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LPG - Oil & Gas Midstream 🇺🇸
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HDSN - Speciality Chemicals 🇺🇸
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TNGX - Biotechnology 🇺🇸
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UUUU - Uranium 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/64918e7c-3315-436f-9c15-5233b04fc849/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.50.59_AM.png)
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RENB - Biotechnology 🇺🇸
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EU - Uranium 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/b8367495-4f3d-4c12-92db-6c83ca7df717/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.52.12_AM.png)
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CCCS - Software - Infrastructure 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/9e1412b2-c8cc-401e-aa32-404d1a0154b6/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.52.47_AM.png)
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COUR - Education & Training Services 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0d084ed9-68c2-4503-b121-cdf26e977324/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_8.54.54_AM.png)
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New Highs $20+:
TBF - ETF (Short 20+ Bonds)
AMR - Coking Coal
SGEN - Biotechnology
IMO - Oil & Gas (Canada)
CLS - Electronic Components (Canada)
X - Steel
SFM - Grocery Stores
URNM - Sprott Uranium Miners ETF
TNET - Staffing & Employment Services
WSM - Speciality Retail
AMR - Coking Coal
CEIX - Coking Coal
ANF - Apparel Retail
TBF - ETF (Short 20+ Bonds) 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/011a37d0-efb3-4937-b9bf-e962ba57cf29/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.20.35_AM.png)
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AMR - Coking Coal 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/f1a1fcfc-89bb-458e-b61a-f4ae54d52ccb/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.21.24_AM.png)
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SGEN - Biotechnology 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/35d3ade3-70b5-438d-aff3-89c481e325f0/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.22.52_AM.png)
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IMO - Oil & Gas (Canada) 🇨🇦
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/2f9877aa-277b-41bf-bc17-e08ccae086f2/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.23.36_AM.png)
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CLS - Electronic Components (Canada) 🇨🇦
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/d66ef8b2-7712-407d-8584-356606e7cd70/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.24.29_AM.png)
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X - Steel 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0fbb41b9-eb89-45d3-a37d-1a50a0b6d71c/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.25.07_AM.png)
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SFM - Grocery Stores 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/e0ee3109-da57-486d-9940-956d46fbf360/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.25.41_AM.png)
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URNM - Sprott Uranium Miners ETF 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/903865df-5dc3-42d7-8e11-a76bba7cc1d2/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.26.26_AM.png)
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TNET - Staffing & Employment Services 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/1099d869-c5f0-46f0-9ac0-73f8c2f19f5e/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.27.05_AM.png)
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WSM - Speciality Retail 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/86d9f73e-44b8-4f6e-bcd1-689621014017/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.27.41_AM.png)
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AMR - Coking Coal 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/92b8c0d1-19e0-4f47-9a08-0583c2bbf125/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.28.17_AM.png)
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CEIX - Coking Coal 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/bec93d75-a89d-4cd5-99b1-99ee4930ba03/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.28.55_AM.png)
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ANF - Apparel Retail 🇺🇸
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/bd4a9e12-637d-4b49-8959-37136978fbc7/Screenshot_2023-10-01_at_9.29.35_AM.png)
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