Are BULLS coming back into the market?

An important update for the fall.

This week, we saw indexes above 1%, 2% and 3% - Can you believe it?

BULLS are coming! And in the words of Deion, “I’m coming and I’m bringing my luggage with me. And it’s Louis. I’m coming.”

Call it a month-end markup or summer drift but we’re rising. All index trends are BULLISH. Maybe it was the PCE or the suprise jump in the unemployment rate.

The market liked the news and data to end the week. We didn’t see volatility trends improve drastically, but we saw indexes rise and $VIX fall substantially.

A fantastic way to go into Labor Day weekend.

- Dustin

Market Performance

We saw the market go flat Friday. Instead of rip, we simply held the gains. If there is an interesting piece it’s the SMALL CAP strength on Friday. An outlier amongst the main indexes. The IWM etf was up over 3.5% for the week.

Indexes are reflecting the BULLS coming back into the market.

S&P500 had a nice move this week

DOW Jones is the weakest of all the indexes at the moment.

Nasdaq is showing massive BULLISH reactions.

Volatility Corner:

VIX / VVIX improved! Blue up is good, blue down is bad. The blue line has a HIGH CORRELATION to overall markets. You see the up and down…we are back above the 23 Week Moving Average. Which is significant.

The recent action was choppy. The market reflected it. Now we expect the market to reflect BULLISHNESS until it doesn’t. We’d like to see the blue line go above the 10 Week Moving Average.

VIX collapsed 16%+ this week.

MACRO INDICATOR:

Long-term, we are in a BULL MARKET. Daily, we are in a BEAR MARKET

  • MACRO SEASON: BULLISH Since 12/2/22🟢

  • MICRO WEATHER: BEARISH Since 7/27/23🛑

US Index ETF Review:

SPY

  • Bullish Trend Since 8/31/23🟢***

  • Go LONG Since 9/1/23🟢***

  • Price to FALL Since 8/8/23🛑***

DIA

  • BULLISH Trends Since 9/1/23🟢***

  • Go Short Since 8/11/23🛑

  • Price to RISE Since 8/28/23🟢***

QQQ

  • BULLISH Trend Since 8/31/23🟢***

  • Go LONG Since 8/31/23🟢***

  • Price to Fall Since 7/28/23**🛑

IWM

  • Bearish Since 8/16/23🛑

  • Go SHORT Since 8/10/23🛑

  • Price to FALL Since 8/14/23🛑

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